Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026

Moore, Christian

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.305 xwOBA
Range
0.232 to 0.351
Live Δ
yes
Team LAA Archetype Balanced regular Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
36
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
36
Defense2 metrics
23
Speed1 metrics
62
Plate skills10 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
xwOBA preseason0.292
xwOBA current pace0.250
xwOBA rolling p500.282
Observed weight24%
xwOBA
0.234 0.257 0.282 0.307 0.330
wOBA
0.184 0.215 0.250 0.285 0.316
ISO
0.099 0.122 0.149 0.175 0.199
K%
24.4% 27.1% 30.2% 33.2% 36.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
62
Exit velocity87.6
47
Hard-hit%35.7%
37 -22 vs proj
xBA0.301
30
xSLG0.456
33
xwOBA0.250
10 -39 vs proj
BB%7.0%
32 -21 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
62
K%31.0%
13
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength75.6 · 2B
1
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
46
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
Small sample
Range Runs-1.2 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · 2B
62
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-05
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
48
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
28
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
63
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
85
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

7 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Moore, Christian · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.250 2026-08-30: 0.2482026-08-31: 0.2582026-09-01: 0.2592026-09-02: 0.2532026-09-03: 0.2462026-09-04: 0.2462026-09-05: 0.250 2026-08-30 2026-09-05 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

30 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Moore, Christian · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 7% of plotted batted ballsPull 7%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 23% of plotted batted ballsOppo 23% LF 347 CF 396 RF 350 2026-06-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 13.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 40.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 11.02026-08-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 48.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 70.6 / LA 59.02026-08-23 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 20.02026-08-23 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA -12.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 28.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.1 / LA 59.02026-08-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 2.02026-08-26 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 2.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -13.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.3 / LA 0.02026-08-29 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 55.9 / LA -85.02026-08-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 4.02026-08-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 11.02026-08-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 42.02026-08-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 13.02026-08-31 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 71.7 / LA 32.02026-08-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.2 / LA -19.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 52.02026-09-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -30.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 33.02026-09-01 · triple · SL · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 20.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.9 / LA -20.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 17.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 53.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA -40.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 13.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · popup · EV 63.1 / LA 75.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Moore, Christian · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.055
wOBA Δ-0.055
Sample71 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances298----
Home Runs10----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3050.232 to 0.351+/- 0.060
ISO0.1710.096 to 0.225+/- 0.065
Barrel%5.6%1.8% to 7.2%+/- 2.7%
Hard-Hit%40.4%27.1% to 47.8%+/- 10.3%
K%30.7%21.8% to 36.5%+/- 7.4%
BB%8.6%4.7% to 11.3%+/- 3.3%
BABIP0.2860.214 to 0.353+/- 0.069
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

44 career PA

xwOBA0.135
K%13.9%
BB%4.4%
Barrel2.2%
vs RHP

151 career PA

xwOBA0.129
K%15.1%
BB%4.7%
Barrel1.9%