Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Lile, Daylen
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
65
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.343 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.329 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.333 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
xwOBA
0.312
0.322
0.333
0.344
0.353
wOBA
0.318
0.330
0.343
0.356
0.368
ISO
0.162
0.174
0.187
0.199
0.211
K%
16.6%
17.5%
18.5%
19.5%
20.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
73
+19 vs proj
Exit velocity88.6
58
Hard-hit%38.5%
51
xBA0.329
61
xSLG0.558
68
xwOBA0.329
77
BB%6.4%
27
Bat speed69.9
53
K%18.6%
73
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.9 · LF
88
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
11
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs0.9 · LF
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · LF
65
Bolts29.0 · LF
82
SB Success Rate61.5% · LF
14
Sprint Speed29.3 · LF
93
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.9% · rebadged research
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.0% · rebadged research
88
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
67
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
56
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303 · validated thin sample
11
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.310 · insufficient sample
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.394 · validated
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| Sample | 606 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 378 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.338 | 0.292 to 0.367 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.190 | 0.128 to 0.273 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 2.1% to 6.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.4% | 29.4% to 46.6% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 15.6% | 12.4% to 20.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 4.4% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.313 | 0.279 to 0.373 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
79 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 11.0% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |
vs RHP
280 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.219 |
| K% | 8.9% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |