Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Lile, Daylen
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.343 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.318 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.329 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.303
0.315
0.329
0.342
0.355
wOBA
0.309
0.326
0.345
0.364
0.381
ISO
0.139
0.156
0.174
0.193
0.209
K%
15.4%
16.6%
17.9%
19.1%
20.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.9%
29
Barrel%5.6%
57
Bat speed69.2
43
Exit velocity87.7
39
Hard-hit%36.4%
35
K%17.7%
76
xBA0.318
43
xSLG0.524
53
xwOBA0.318
57
-17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.1 · LF
88
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
17
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
90
Range Runs1.7 · LF
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · LF
19
Bolts13.0 · LF
78
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
94
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.0% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
69
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391 · validated
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
207 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.007 |
| Sample | 288 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 378 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.338 | 0.292 to 0.367 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.190 | 0.128 to 0.273 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 5.1% | 2.1% to 6.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.4% | 29.4% to 46.6% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 15.6% | 12.4% to 20.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 4.4% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.313 | 0.279 to 0.373 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
79 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 11.0% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |
vs RHP
280 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.219 |
| K% | 8.9% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |