Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / STL · 2026

Crooks, Jimmy

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.283 xwOBA
Range
0.122 to 0.263
Live Δ
yes
Team STL Archetype Impact slugger Age 25 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
77
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
64
Defense3 metrics
41
Speed1 metrics
34
Plate skills10 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.254
xwOBA current pace0.318
xwOBA rolling p500.269
Observed weight24%
xwOBA
0.213 0.240 0.269 0.299 0.325
wOBA
0.196 0.228 0.264 0.299 0.331
ISO
0.043 0.078 0.117 0.156 0.192
K%
17.5% 21.7% 26.4% 31.0% 35.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
39
Exit velocity91.3
88
Hard-hit%52.8%
96 +65 vs proj
xBA0.366
87
xSLG0.653
87
xwOBA0.318
63 +37 vs proj
BB%8.6%
50 +24 vs proj
Bat speed70.2
57
K%34.3%
5 -21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.2 · C
11
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · C
39
Framing Runs2.4 · C
72
Pop Time2.0 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · C
34
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.2% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions62.2% · rebadged research
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
67
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
52
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
62
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
46
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Crooks, Jimmy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.318 2026-07-07: 0.3172026-07-08: 0.3172026-07-09: 0.3142026-07-10: 0.3142026-07-11: 0.3142026-07-12: 0.3272026-07-13: 0.3272026-07-14: 0.3182026-07-15: 0.3182026-07-16: 0.3182026-07-17: 0.3182026-07-18: 0.318 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Crooks, Jimmy · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 40% of plotted batted ballsPull 40%Center field third: 50% of plotted batted ballsCenter 50%Right field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsOppo 10% LF 336 CF 400 RF 335 2026-06-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 83.9 / LA 15.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 28.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 83.0 / LA 25.02026-06-15 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 97.0 / LA 24.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 44.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 40.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -36.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 36.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 65.9 / LA -27.02026-07-01 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 25.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Crooks, Jimmy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 34%34%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 66%66%Hard hit: 53%53% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.035
wOBA Δ-0.019
Sample70 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances223----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2830.122 to 0.263+/- 0.070
ISO0.1510.025 to 0.218+/- 0.096
Barrel%4.7%0.2% to 5.7%+/- 2.8%
Hard-Hit%34.9%13.4% to 40.0%+/- 13.3%
K%27.0%12.6% to 35.5%+/- 11.5%
BB%6.6%0.5% to 9.6%+/- 4.5%
BABIP0.2730.138 to 0.318+/- 0.090
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

8 career PA

xwOBA0.035
K%5.9%
BB%0.5%
Barrel0.6%
vs RHP

42 career PA

xwOBA0.036
K%5.7%
BB%0.6%
Barrel0.7%