Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TB · 2026
Piper, Kenny
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team TB
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.241 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.263 |
| Observed weight | 4% |
xwOBA
0.154
0.205
0.263
0.320
0.371
wOBA
0.165
0.258
0.360
0.462
0.555
ISO
0.000
0.045
0.100
0.154
0.203
K%
12.0%
18.4%
25.4%
32.4%
38.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs-0.0 · C
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.0% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
10
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
6 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.101 to 0.328 | +/- 0.113 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.001 to 0.217 | +/- 0.108 |
| Barrel% | 2.9% | 0.2% to 5.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.9% | 7.2% to 40.6% | +/- 16.7% |
| K% | 24.2% | 9.4% to 36.0% | +/- 13.3% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 1.6% to 9.4% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.318 | 0.169 to 0.385 | +/- 0.108 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
11 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.7% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |