Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Manzardo, Kyle
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.318 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.300
0.312
0.325
0.336
wOBA
0.303
0.319
0.336
0.354
0.370
ISO
0.143
0.156
0.172
0.187
0.200
K%
26.5%
27.8%
29.3%
30.8%
32.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
69
Exit velocity89.1
62
Hard-hit%39.0%
50
xBA0.347
76
xSLG0.586
73
xwOBA0.309
52
BB%10.2%
69
+25 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
26
K%31.6%
10
-31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
12
Range Runs-2.3 · 1B
26
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · 1B
9
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.7% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
32
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
91
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
126 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| Sample | 332 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 502 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 22 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.316 | 0.285 to 0.354 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.188 | 0.138 to 0.259 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 6.6% | 4.4% to 8.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.3% | 35.7% to 48.3% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 24.1% | 20.8% to 31.2% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.8% to 11.0% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.221 to 0.329 | +/- 0.054 |
vs LHP
135 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.216 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |
vs RHP
621 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 19.4% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 5.6% |