Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Clark, Max
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team DET
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 22
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
42
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.265 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.279 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
xwOBA
0.213
0.244
0.279
0.314
0.346
wOBA
0.270
0.297
0.328
0.359
0.387
ISO
0.075
0.103
0.135
0.166
0.195
K%
13.9%
18.5%
23.5%
28.6%
33.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.9%
3
-35 vs proj
Exit velocity85.1
20
Hard-hit%38.7%
50
xBA0.354
84
xSLG0.476
41
xwOBA0.308
54
BB%7.5%
38
Bat speed71.1
73
K%20.8%
62
+27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · CF
50
Arm Strength88.6 · CF
17
Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF
92
Range Runs2.9 · CF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · CF
12
Sprint Speed28.6 · CF
83
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2% · rebadged research
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
16
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
43
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
54
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
55 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| Sample | 106 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.307 | 0.141 to 0.330 | +/- 0.095 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.051 to 0.223 | +/- 0.086 |
| Barrel% | 4.2% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.8% | 14.1% to 39.5% | +/- 12.7% |
| K% | 25.4% | 8.4% to 36.4% | +/- 14.0% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 1.7% to 10.3% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.182 to 0.363 | +/- 0.091 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |