Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Bolte, Henry
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team ATH
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
73
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
50
Exit velocity90.1
78
Hard-hit%48.2%
89
xBA0.363
89
xSLG0.550
65
xwOBA0.317
65
BB%7.9%
43
Bat speed74.8
97
K%27.9%
24
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.0 · CF
88
Arm Strength99.5 · CF
89
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Range Runs3.2 · CF
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · CF
71
Bolts105.0 · CF
99
SB Success Rate70.0% · CF
26
Sprint Speed30.5 · CF
100
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.8% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions69.3% · rebadged research
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
71
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.324 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
144 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 420 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.292 | 0.095 to 0.327 | +/- 0.116 |
| ISO | 0.130 | 0.022 to 0.201 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 9.2% to 38.9% | +/- 14.9% |
| K% | 23.6% | 7.6% to 33.9% | +/- 13.2% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 0.5% to 9.2% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.309 | 0.149 to 0.377 | +/- 0.114 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
9 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |