Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
DeLauter, Chase
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.317 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.303
0.317
0.332
0.346
wOBA
0.364
0.377
0.391
0.406
0.419
ISO
0.137
0.153
0.171
0.189
0.205
K%
12.8%
14.4%
16.3%
18.2%
19.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
53
Exit velocity91.3
90
Hard-hit%46.1%
84
+28 vs proj
xBA0.330
64
xSLG0.507
52
xwOBA0.342
86
+42 vs proj
BB%10.7%
76
+32 vs proj
Bat speed69.3
45
K%15.1%
88
+26 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · RF
63
Arm Strength90.9 · RF
26
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
49
Range Runs0.4 · RF
51
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · RF
42
SB Success Rate85.7% · RF
67
Sprint Speed26.5 · RF
26
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.3% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions70.3% · rebadged research
87
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.401 · validated
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
256 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.043 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.093 |
| Sample | 504 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 205 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.138 to 0.278 | +/- 0.070 |
| ISO | 0.166 | 0.034 to 0.238 | +/- 0.102 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.8% to 6.3% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.9% | 18.9% to 46.4% | +/- 13.7% |
| K% | 20.5% | 7.6% to 28.9% | +/- 10.7% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 2.8% to 11.9% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.311 | 0.166 to 0.355 | +/- 0.095 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.011 |
| K% | 0.8% |
| BB% | 1.1% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |
vs RHP
16 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.012 |
| K% | 0.7% |
| BB% | 1.4% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |