Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Rodden, Brock
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SEA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
19
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.197 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.256 |
| Observed weight | 21% |
xwOBA
0.179
0.216
0.256
0.296
0.333
wOBA
0.236
0.272
0.313
0.354
0.390
ISO
0.043
0.079
0.120
0.160
0.197
K%
11.8%
16.4%
21.4%
26.5%
31.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.7%
8
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity87.8
50
Hard-hit%40.0%
56
xBA0.176
0
xSLG0.288
1
xwOBA0.197
1
-35 vs proj
BB%11.9%
86
+35 vs proj
Bat speed66.3
14
K%28.8%
20
-16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
28
Range Runs-3.0 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · SS
72
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.2% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions62.4% · rebadged research
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
74
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
17
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330 · validated
67
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
27 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.096 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.020 |
| Sample | 59 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.140 to 0.331 | +/- 0.096 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.021 to 0.220 | +/- 0.100 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.3% | 17.0% to 44.8% | +/- 13.9% |
| K% | 24.6% | 8.2% to 31.1% | +/- 11.5% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 1.6% to 10.5% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.151 to 0.368 | +/- 0.108 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
8 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |