Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Furman, Nate
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team SF
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.268 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.242 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.266 |
| Observed weight | 8% |
xwOBA
0.183
0.222
0.266
0.310
0.349
wOBA
0.061
0.112
0.168
0.225
0.276
ISO
0.038
0.074
0.114
0.154
0.190
K%
10.7%
16.4%
22.6%
28.9%
34.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-0.3 · 2B
35
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.3 · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.9% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions60.0% · rebadged research
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
6 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.285 | 0.148 to 0.329 | +/- 0.090 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.038 to 0.204 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.9% | 13.4% to 42.8% | +/- 14.7% |
| K% | 24.9% | 9.1% to 35.0% | +/- 12.9% |
| BB% | 8.9% | 2.5% to 10.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.174 to 0.361 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |