Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Antonacci, Sam
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
29
Exit velocity86.9
38
Hard-hit%32.7%
26
xBA0.335
70
xSLG0.478
42
xwOBA0.341
86
BB%8.4%
50
Bat speed67.9
29
K%15.4%
87
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.7 · LF
6
Arm Strength92.5 · LF
43
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
48
Range Runs-5.2 · LF
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.0 · LF
89
SB Success Rate81.0% · LF
52
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
72
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions70.7% · rebadged research
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
34
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.385 · validated
4
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
20
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
201 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 479 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.127 to 0.331 | +/- 0.102 |
| ISO | 0.134 | 0.005 to 0.198 | +/- 0.096 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.7% | 12.5% to 39.7% | +/- 13.6% |
| K% | 25.0% | 7.8% to 36.1% | +/- 14.1% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 1.7% to 10.4% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.287 | 0.168 to 0.355 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.7% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |