Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Jarvis, Jim
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 26
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
24
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.4%
15
Exit velocity86.7
37
Hard-hit%36.6%
42
xBA0.295
24
xSLG0.384
9
xwOBA0.268
18
BB%6.3%
26
Bat speed68.6
36
K%19.0%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength94.0 · SS
94
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
46
Range Runs-0.1 · SS
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · SS
62
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.3% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
51
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
47
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 126 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.286 | 0.129 to 0.328 | +/- 0.100 |
| ISO | 0.122 | 0.050 to 0.212 | +/- 0.081 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 0.2% to 5.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 11.5% to 38.7% | +/- 13.6% |
| K% | 25.8% | 7.5% to 36.3% | +/- 14.4% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 1.2% to 10.3% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.163 to 0.354 | +/- 0.095 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |