Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team HOU
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.302 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.265 |
| Observed weight | 8% |
xwOBA
0.155
0.207
0.265
0.323
0.375
wOBA
0.142
0.204
0.273
0.342
0.404
ISO
0.000
0.037
0.085
0.133
0.177
K%
16.5%
22.8%
29.9%
37.0%
43.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Pop Time1.9 · C
66
Blocking Runs0.0 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs0.3 · C
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.0 · C
29
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 44.4% · rebadged research
2
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions46.2% · rebadged research
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
61
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline74
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
5 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.087 to 0.324 | +/- 0.119 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.007 to 0.206 | +/- 0.099 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 0.2% to 5.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.1% | 6.7% to 39.4% | +/- 16.4% |
| K% | 27.8% | 10.0% to 39.0% | +/- 14.5% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 0.5% to 9.9% | +/- 4.7% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.150 to 0.368 | +/- 0.109 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.7% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
11 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.8% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |