Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SF · 2026

Eldridge, Bryce

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.313 xwOBA
Range
0.174 to 0.290
Live Δ
yes
Team SF Archetype Impact slugger Age 22 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.273
xwOBA current pace0.398
xwOBA rolling p500.305
Observed weight25%
xwOBA
0.258 0.280 0.305 0.329 0.351
wOBA
0.300 0.334 0.371 0.409 0.443
ISO
0.079 0.113 0.151 0.189 0.223
K%
18.1% 22.9% 28.2% 33.5% 38.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.3%
88 +25 vs proj
Barrel%8.0%
82 +16 vs proj
Bat speed72.8
87
Exit velocity92.9
94
Hard-hit%54.3%
96 +38 vs proj
K%25.3%
33
xBA0.402
97
xSLG0.766
96
xwOBA0.398
97 +43 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B · small sample regression applied
55 Regression applied
Range Runs0.1 · 1B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · DH
6
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.7% · rebadged research
90
Correct Decisions68.0% · rebadged research
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
75
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.392 · validated
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

8 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Eldridge, Bryce · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-24: 0.3032026-05-25: 0.3032026-05-26: 0.2982026-05-28: 0.3442026-05-29: 0.3432026-05-30: 0.3432026-05-31: 0.3552026-06-01: 0.398 2026-05-24 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

41 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Eldridge, Bryce · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsOppo 20% LF 339 CF 399 RF 309 2026-03-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.1 / LA 11.02026-03-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 42.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 54.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 50.0 / LA 28.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 77.9 / LA 23.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · popup · EV 96.1 / LA 66.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 2.02026-05-09 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 42.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 40.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 7.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -39.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 10.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 59.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -36.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 10.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 1.02026-05-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA 10.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -16.02026-05-18 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 5.02026-05-20 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 113.4 / LA 19.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 59.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 10.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 49.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 1.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -7.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 71.8 / LA 24.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 40.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 8.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.3 / LA 78.02026-05-26 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 12.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 36.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA -51.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 38.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 30.02026-05-31 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 35.02026-05-31 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 25.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 8.02026-05-31 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 28.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 67.2 / LA -29.02026-05-31 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 23.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Eldridge, Bryce · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 40%40%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 23%23%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 77%77%Hard hit: 54%54% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.086
wOBA Δ+0.059
Sample75 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances218----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3130.174 to 0.290+/- 0.058
ISO0.1570.042 to 0.231+/- 0.094
Barrel%6.2%1.7% to 7.6%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%41.7%21.5% to 47.7%+/- 13.1%
K%28.5%13.0% to 39.7%+/- 13.3%
BB%9.8%3.7% to 12.4%+/- 4.3%
BABIP0.2770.190 to 0.319+/- 0.064
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

2 career PA

xwOBA0.045
K%5.1%
BB%2.1%
Barrel1.0%
vs RHP

35 career PA

xwOBA0.050
K%4.9%
BB%2.7%
Barrel1.6%