Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
McAdoo, Charles
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team TOR
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
30
Exit velocity85.8
26
Hard-hit%29.8%
16
xBA0.312
41
xSLG0.459
34
xwOBA0.269
18
BB%6.1%
22
Bat speed72.4
83
K%24.4%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
72
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
Small sample
Range Runs0.3 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.8 · 1B
87
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.3% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.9% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
37 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 82 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.143 to 0.336 | +/- 0.096 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.050 to 0.203 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.2% | 12.4% to 38.2% | +/- 12.9% |
| K% | 24.6% | 7.7% to 34.1% | +/- 13.2% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 1.5% to 10.2% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.183 to 0.353 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |