Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / LAA · 2026

Stephenson, Robert

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
23.0% K%
Range
17.6% to 33.4%
Live Δ
--
Team LAA Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 33 Status IL-60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Insufficient sample

Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.

Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher.

Stuff+ pending

No current Stuff+ row is available for this pitcher in the latest daily scoring artifact. The profile keeps this block visible so missing coverage is explicit rather than silent.

Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

No zone aggregate is available.

No zone heatmap

No zone aggregate is available for this profile.

Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

No 2026 pitch arsenal snapshot is available for this pitcher.

2026
No arsenal chart

No pitch arsenal aggregate is available for this profile.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
2
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Cutter 69%, 4-Seam Fastball 16%, Split-Finger 8%.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings32.5----
Batters Faced134----
K%23.0%17.6% to 33.4%+/- 7.9%
BB%8.2%4.5% to 12.2%+/- 3.9%
Whiff%32.8%27.5% to 43.0%+/- 7.8%
HR/91.190.52 to 2.12+/- 0.80
xwOBA Against0.2690.197 to 0.344+/- 0.073
Barrel% Allowed8.1%4.0% to 12.5%+/- 4.2%
ERA3.701.58 to 5.30+/- 1.86
FIP3.382.04 to 5.05+/- 1.51
WHIP1.1210.667 to 1.479+/- 0.406
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

747 career BF

xwOBA0.225
K%22.5%
BB%7.1%
Barrel8.3%
vs RHH

932 career BF

xwOBA0.211
K%24.9%
BB%5.7%
Barrel7.6%