Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.27 |
| ERA current pace | 5.30 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.83 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 45.7% | 380 | 102 | qualified |
| CH | 18.7% | 155 | 101 | limited sample |
| FB | 13.8% | 115 | 106 | limited sample |
| SL | 12.9% | 107 | 110 | limited sample |
| CB | 8.9% | 74 | 100 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.82 |
| K% Δ | -0.026 |
| Sample | 62.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 138.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 601 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.8% | 14.9% to 23.3% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 5.7% to 10.2% | +/- 2.2% |
| Whiff% | 16.4% | 14.8% to 21.7% | +/- 3.5% |
| HR/9 | 1.34 | 0.61 to 1.81 | +/- 0.60 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.337 | 0.283 to 0.352 | +/- 0.035 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.0% | 5.3% to 10.2% | +/- 2.5% |
| ERA | 4.48 | 3.19 to 6.21 | +/- 1.51 |
| FIP | 4.39 | 3.09 to 5.29 | +/- 1.10 |
| WHIP | 1.426 | 1.191 to 1.682 | +/- 0.246 |
| xwOBA | 0.317 |
| K% | 15.2% |
| BB% | 9.0% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.284 |
| K% | 16.7% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
