Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIN · 2026

Banda, Anthony

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
23.4% K%
Range
19.1% to 30.9%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIN Archetype Volatile contact Age 33 Status IL-60
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
40
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
48
Arsenal5 metrics
29
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
ERA preseason3.52
ERA current pace4.46
ERA rolling p503.90
Observed weight41%
ERA
2.69 3.26 3.90 4.54 5.12
FIP
3.06 3.44 3.86 4.28 4.66
K%
19.1% 20.9% 23.0% 25.0% 26.8%
BB%
7.6% 8.6% 9.8% 10.9% 12.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.32
49
ERA4.46
39
BB%10.2%
31
K%21.1%
40 -17 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.325
39
Barrel allowed6.7%
66 +20 vs proj
Fastball velo94.6
51
Hard-hit allowed38.5%
53
Whiff%24.7%
63
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-19
Changeup Stuff+102
50
Fastball Stuff+99
24
Mithrandir Stuff+98
20
Sinker Stuff+102
45
Slider Stuff+93
6
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 41%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Banda, Anthony · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.325 2026-07-08: 0.3252026-07-09: 0.3252026-07-10: 0.3252026-07-11: 0.3252026-07-12: 0.3252026-07-13: 0.3252026-07-14: 0.3252026-07-15: 0.3252026-07-16: 0.3252026-07-17: 0.3252026-07-18: 0.3252026-07-19: 0.325 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Banda, Anthony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Banda, Anthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 41.1%4-Seam Fastball: 27.0%Sinker: 25.8%Changeup: 6.1% SL41% · 85 mphprimary pitch SL 41%FF 27%SI 26%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Banda, Anthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Slider: 41% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 84.5 mphSL85 mph4-Seam Fastball: 27% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.5 mphFF95 mphSinker: 26% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.6 mphSI95 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 87.3 mphCH87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 41.1% 198 93 limited sample
FB 27.8% 134 99 limited sample
SI 24.5% 118 102 limited sample
CH 6.6% 32 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.250 vs 0.289 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Slider 50%, 4-Seam Fastball 23%, Sinker 23%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.60
K% Δ-0.023
Sample36.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.6----
Batters Faced282----
K%23.4%19.1% to 30.9%+/- 5.9%
BB%10.1%7.3% to 13.4%+/- 3.1%
Whiff%25.6%22.2% to 31.3%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.240.60 to 1.79+/- 0.59
xwOBA Against0.3150.250 to 0.343+/- 0.047
Barrel% Allowed7.9%5.6% to 11.0%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.861.81 to 5.19+/- 1.69
FIP4.292.84 to 5.07+/- 1.11
WHIP1.4071.021 to 1.605+/- 0.292
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

460 career BF

xwOBA0.250
K%23.7%
BB%9.0%
Barrel6.3%
vs RHH

708 career BF

xwOBA0.289
K%20.3%
BB%11.0%
Barrel8.2%