Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 17 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / LAA · 2026

Suter, Brent

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
16.4% K%
Range
13.0% to 23.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team LAA Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 37 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-17
44
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
45
Arsenal5 metrics
28
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-17
ERA preseason4.44
ERA current pace4.54
ERA rolling p504.48
Observed weight43%
ERA
3.31 3.87 4.48 5.10 5.66
FIP
3.64 4.00 4.39 4.79 5.14
K%
15.6% 17.2% 18.9% 20.7% 22.3%
BB%
5.3% 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
39
ERA4.54
34
BB%8.7%
50 -33 vs proj
K%20.1%
34 +23 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.304
60 +21 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.0%
57
Fastball velo87.8
2
Hard-hit allowed31.0%
92
Whiff%20.9%
34 +24 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-17
Mithrandir Stuff+98
23
Changeup Stuff+99
25
Fastball Stuff+98
22
Sinker Stuff+102
44
Slider Stuff+98
27
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Suter, Brent · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.304 2026-06-06: 0.3002026-06-07: 0.3002026-06-08: 0.3002026-06-09: 0.3002026-06-10: 0.3002026-06-11: 0.2962026-06-12: 0.2962026-06-13: 0.2962026-06-14: 0.2962026-06-15: 0.2972026-06-16: 0.3042026-06-17: 0.304 2026-06-06 2026-06-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Suter, Brent · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Suter, Brent · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 30.8%Sinker: 28.0%4-Seam Fastball: 24.5%Slider: 16.8% CH31% · 76 mphprimary pitch CH 31%SI 28%FF 24%SL 17% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Suter, Brent · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Changeup: 31% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 75.9 mphCH76 mphSinker: 28% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 88.5 mphSI88 mph4-Seam Fastball: 24% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 86.9 mphFF87 mphSlider: 17% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 77.4 mphSL77 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 31.0% 158 99 limited sample
FB 28.3% 144 98 limited sample
SI 24.0% 122 102 limited sample
SL 16.7% 85 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 43%, Sinker 23%, Changeup 22%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.05
K% Δ+0.037
Sample42.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings68.5----
Batters Faced296----
K%16.4%13.0% to 23.3%+/- 5.2%
BB%6.2%3.7% to 9.0%+/- 2.7%
Whiff%17.4%15.3% to 23.6%+/- 4.1%
HR/91.500.82 to 2.03+/- 0.60
xwOBA Against0.3250.277 to 0.361+/- 0.042
Barrel% Allowed7.4%4.5% to 9.5%+/- 2.5%
ERA4.493.09 to 6.38+/- 1.65
FIP4.613.08 to 5.18+/- 1.05
WHIP1.3261.084 to 1.669+/- 0.292
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

835 career BF

xwOBA0.294
K%17.0%
BB%4.9%
Barrel6.2%
vs RHH

1766 career BF

xwOBA0.306
K%16.4%
BB%5.7%
Barrel6.2%