Strahm, Matt
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.54 |
| ERA current pace | 3.86 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.63 |
| Observed weight | 26% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 36.3% | 102 | 103 | limited sample |
| SL | 29.2% | 82 | 101 | limited sample |
| CH | 14.2% | 40 | 86 | limited sample |
| SI | 12.5% | 35 | 108 | limited sample |
| FC | 7.8% | 22 | 96 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 41.9 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 167 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.5% | 17.7% to 34.2% | +/- 8.3% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 4.8% to 11.7% | +/- 3.4% |
| Whiff% | 23.2% | 17.5% to 28.2% | +/- 5.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.11 | 0.59 to 1.71 | +/- 0.56 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.287 | 0.252 to 0.337 | +/- 0.042 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.0% | 4.2% to 11.2% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.65 | 1.93 to 5.47 | +/- 1.77 |
| FIP | 3.46 | 2.52 to 5.47 | +/- 1.47 |
| WHIP | 1.205 | 0.952 to 1.579 | +/- 0.313 |
705 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.260 |
| K% | 25.8% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 5.6% |
1572 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 25.8% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |