Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Domínguez, Seranthony

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
26.6% K%
Range
20.4% to 35.4%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Volatile contact Age 32 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.59
ERA current pace4.36
ERA rolling p503.82
Observed weight30%
ERA
2.12 2.93 3.82 4.72 5.52
FIP
2.44 3.19 4.03 4.87 5.63
K%
22.3% 24.9% 27.8% 30.7% 33.3%
BB%
7.7% 9.4% 11.2% 12.9% 14.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%12.6%
11 -17 vs proj
Barrel allowed10.7%
18 -26 vs proj
Fastball velo97.3
90
Hard-hit allowed37.5%
61
K%30.1%
91
Whiff%26.2%
73
xwOBA allowed0.352
15 -51 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+101
44
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 34%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

7 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Domínguez, Seranthony · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-25: 0.3812026-05-26: 0.3712026-05-28: 0.3712026-05-29: 0.3702026-05-30: 0.3702026-05-31: 0.3602026-06-01: 0.352 2026-05-25 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Domínguez, Seranthony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 32%32%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Domínguez, Seranthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 34.1%Sweeper: 30.4%Sinker: 19.4%Split-Finger: 13.4%Curveball: 2.8% MIX FF 34%ST 30%SI 19%FS 13%CU 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Domínguez, Seranthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.3FFST: HB -0.1, IVB 2.8STSI: HB 0.3, IVB 1.6SIFS: HB -0.8, IVB 3.0FSCU: HB 0.6, IVB 4.2CU horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 38.7% 127 100 limited sample
SL 35.1% 115 100 limited sample
SI 22.9% 75 106 limited sample
CB 3.4% 11 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.297 vs 0.266 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Sweeper 22%, Split-Finger 16%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.61
K% Δ+0.035
Sample23.7 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings41.3----
Batters Faced179----
K%26.6%20.4% to 35.4%+/- 7.5%
BB%10.5%6.7% to 15.8%+/- 4.5%
Whiff%27.1%22.9% to 33.8%+/- 5.5%
HR/91.150.44 to 2.20+/- 0.88
xwOBA Against0.2960.235 to 0.343+/- 0.054
Barrel% Allowed8.2%4.7% to 13.0%+/- 4.2%
ERA3.751.67 to 6.13+/- 2.23
FIP3.812.29 to 6.47+/- 2.09
WHIP1.2810.949 to 1.717+/- 0.384
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

614 career BF

xwOBA0.297
K%23.0%
BB%11.3%
Barrel9.8%
vs RHH

873 career BF

xwOBA0.266
K%27.9%
BB%10.9%
Barrel8.3%