Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.97 |
| ERA current pace | 5.95 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.83 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 46.6% | 325 | 100 | qualified |
| CH | 16.9% | 118 | 95 | limited sample |
| FC | 16.0% | 112 | 97 | limited sample |
| CB | 11.3% | 79 | 103 | limited sample |
| SL | 9.2% | 64 | 97 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.76 |
| K% Δ | -0.057 |
| Sample | 41.3 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 287 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.9% | 16.6% to 27.3% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 5.3% to 10.4% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 19.3% | 14.5% to 23.8% | +/- 4.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.59 | 1.07 to 2.47 | +/- 0.70 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.273 to 0.348 | +/- 0.038 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.9% | 6.4% to 12.5% | +/- 3.1% |
| ERA | 4.19 | 1.89 to 5.76 | +/- 1.93 |
| FIP | 4.28 | 3.25 to 5.50 | +/- 1.12 |
| WHIP | 1.262 | 1.031 to 1.572 | +/- 0.271 |
| xwOBA | 0.265 |
| K% | 20.0% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 7.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 9.5% |
