Speier, Gabe
High-leverage relief profile with bat-miss
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.34 |
| ERA current pace | 2.70 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.20 |
| Observed weight | 22% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 33.8% | 76 | 104 | limited sample |
| SL | 33.8% | 76 | 95 | limited sample |
| SI | 32.0% | 72 | 106 | limited sample |
| CH | 0.4% | 1 | 96 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 155 | -- | -- |
| K% | 28.2% | 21.3% to 36.9% | +/- 7.8% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 3.3% to 11.4% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 25.5% | 19.7% to 31.1% | +/- 5.7% |
| HR/9 | 1.10 | 0.42 to 1.89 | +/- 0.74 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.289 | 0.239 to 0.336 | +/- 0.049 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 4.8% to 12.8% | +/- 4.0% |
| ERA | 3.30 | 1.42 to 5.79 | +/- 2.18 |
| FIP | 3.12 | 2.04 to 4.87 | +/- 1.41 |
| WHIP | 1.081 | 0.815 to 1.467 | +/- 0.326 |
375 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.238 |
| K% | 30.0% |
| BB% | 4.8% |
| Barrel | 7.8% |
457 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 25.2% |
| BB% | 6.1% |
| Barrel | 9.0% |