Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.43 |
| ERA current pace | 4.13 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.30 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC | 29.9% | 126 | 106 | limited sample |
| SL | 21.3% | 90 | 99 | limited sample |
| CH | 19.7% | 83 | 111 | limited sample |
| FB | 18.5% | 78 | 95 | limited sample |
| SI | 10.7% | 45 | 105 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.30 |
| K% Δ | -0.011 |
| Sample | 41.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 71.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 298 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.7% | 13.5% to 23.8% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 5.2% to 10.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Whiff% | 20.7% | 18.1% to 25.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| HR/9 | 1.44 | 1.00 to 2.39 | +/- 0.69 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.316 | 0.282 to 0.363 | +/- 0.041 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.8% | 5.5% to 10.6% | +/- 2.5% |
| ERA | 4.43 | 2.90 to 6.25 | +/- 1.67 |
| FIP | 4.75 | 3.71 to 5.33 | +/- 0.81 |
| WHIP | 1.287 | 1.034 to 1.547 | +/- 0.257 |
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 18.3% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.321 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 7.7% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |
