Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / DET · 2026

De Jesus, Enmanuel

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
20.6% K%
Range
2.8% to 22.8%
Live Δ
yes
Team DET Archetype Volatile contact Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.94
ERA current pace5.91
ERA rolling p504.56
Observed weight31%
ERA
2.35 3.40 4.56 5.72 6.77
FIP
1.40 2.41 3.53 4.65 5.66
K%
12.8% 16.1% 19.8% 23.5% 26.8%
BB%
4.0% 5.8% 7.8% 9.7% 11.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%10.1%
32 -16 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.1%
45
Fastball velo93.8
40
Hard-hit allowed47.3%
9
K%22.0%
48
Whiff%21.4%
35
xwOBA allowed0.334
33
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
72
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 37%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

11 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed De Jesus, Enmanuel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-19: 0.3332026-05-21: 0.3432026-05-23: 0.3352026-05-24: 0.3352026-05-25: 0.3342026-05-26: 0.3342026-05-28: 0.3342026-05-29: 0.3342026-05-30: 0.3342026-05-31: 0.3342026-06-01: 0.334 2026-05-19 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile De Jesus, Enmanuel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 43%43%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal De Jesus, Enmanuel · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 37.0%Changeup: 22.0%Cutter: 17.7%Sinker: 13.8%Slider: 9.5% MIX FF 37%CH 22%FC 18%SI 14%SL 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal De Jesus, Enmanuel · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.2FFCH: HB -1.3, IVB 2.3CHFC: HB -0.1, IVB 3.0FCSI: HB 1.0, IVB 1.5SISL: HB 0.1, IVB 4.2SL horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 38.0% 149 104 limited sample
CH 21.9% 86 101 limited sample
FC 18.4% 72 103 limited sample
SI 12.5% 49 112 limited sample
SL 9.2% 36 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.95
K% Δ+0.014
Sample24.3 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings33.5----
Batters Faced149----
K%20.6%2.8% to 22.8%+/- 10.0%
BB%8.9%0.1% to 10.4%+/- 5.2%
Whiff%22.5%5.3% to 27.3%+/- 11.0%
HR/91.380.00 to 1.57+/- 0.79
xwOBA Against0.3340.038 to 0.377+/- 0.170
Barrel% Allowed7.7%0.6% to 11.1%+/- 5.2%
ERA4.960.15 to 6.00+/- 2.92
FIP4.510.77 to 6.42+/- 2.82
WHIP1.3680.262 to 1.567+/- 0.652
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

20 career BF

xwOBA0.071
K%3.9%
BB%2.0%
Barrel2.1%
vs RHH

31 career BF

xwOBA0.078
K%3.6%
BB%2.2%
Barrel2.6%