Beeks, Jalen
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.07 |
| ERA current pace | 3.74 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.97 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 51.8% | 183 | 104 | limited sample |
| CH | 38.2% | 135 | 97 | limited sample |
| FC | 9.9% | 35 | 98 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -0.34 |
| K% Δ | -0.021 |
| Sample | 26.7 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 66.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 284 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.9% | 15.3% to 25.6% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 6.3% to 12.0% | +/- 2.9% |
| Whiff% | 23.4% | 20.4% to 28.2% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.19 | 0.69 to 1.97 | +/- 0.64 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.315 | 0.261 to 0.339 | +/- 0.039 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.0% | 5.4% to 10.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| ERA | 4.08 | 2.96 to 6.22 | +/- 1.63 |
| FIP | 4.27 | 3.28 to 5.10 | +/- 0.91 |
| WHIP | 1.291 | 1.011 to 1.600 | +/- 0.295 |
571 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.268 |
| K% | 20.8% |
| BB% | 7.7% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
1268 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.294 |
| K% | 16.6% |
| BB% | 8.8% |
| Barrel | 8.3% |