Gil, Luis
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.86 |
| ERA current pace | 6.05 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.59 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 45.1% | 152 | 102 | limited sample |
| SL | 21.1% | 71 | 95 | limited sample |
| CH | 20.5% | 69 | 105 | limited sample |
| SI | 13.4% | 45 | 91 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | +1.82 |
| K% Δ | -0.080 |
| Sample | 27.0 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 140.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 607 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.9% | 18.2% to 30.3% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 11.0% | 8.0% to 13.6% | +/- 2.8% |
| Whiff% | 23.4% | 20.4% to 28.8% | +/- 4.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.39 | 0.74 to 1.95 | +/- 0.60 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.324 | 0.266 to 0.347 | +/- 0.040 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 5.5% to 11.4% | +/- 3.0% |
| ERA | 4.23 | 2.54 to 5.03 | +/- 1.24 |
| FIP | 4.45 | 2.94 to 5.61 | +/- 1.34 |
| WHIP | 1.367 | 1.037 to 1.556 | +/- 0.260 |
539 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 19.7% |
| BB% | 12.8% |
| Barrel | 9.2% |
609 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 22.5% |
| BB% | 9.7% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |