Sands, Cole
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.19 |
| ERA current pace | 4.63 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.28 |
| Observed weight | 19% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 46.4% | 71 | 97 | limited sample |
| FC | 28.8% | 44 | 107 | limited sample |
| CB | 15.7% | 24 | 103 | limited sample |
| SI | 9.2% | 14 | 112 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 285 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.8% | 19.4% to 29.6% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 4.8% to 9.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 23.3% | 19.0% to 27.6% | +/- 4.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.09 | 0.72 to 1.88 | +/- 0.58 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.313 | 0.260 to 0.351 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 5.8% to 11.9% | +/- 3.0% |
| ERA | 4.22 | 2.92 to 5.95 | +/- 1.51 |
| FIP | 3.54 | 2.80 to 4.36 | +/- 0.78 |
| WHIP | 1.220 | 1.029 to 1.506 | +/- 0.239 |
426 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.306 |
| K% | 20.9% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 9.3% |
487 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 24.3% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 8.1% |