Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TB · 2026

McClanahan, Shane

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
22.0% K%
Range
19.3% to 29.7%
Live Δ
yes
Team TB Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
64
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
58
Arsenal5 metrics
70
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
ERA preseason3.81
ERA current pace3.10
ERA rolling p503.33
Observed weight68%
ERA
2.25 2.76 3.33 3.90 4.41
FIP
2.55 3.03 3.57 4.11 4.60
K%
21.0% 22.1% 23.4% 24.6% 25.7%
BB%
6.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.1% 9.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.10
84
ERA3.10
79
BB%8.4%
55
K%22.8%
56
xwOBA allowed0.314
48
Barrel allowed8.6%
32
Fastball velo95.5
68
Hard-hit allowed41.4%
30
Whiff%25.4%
70
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-08-31
Changeup Stuff+108
90
Fastball Stuff+101
42
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Slider Stuff+105
75
Curveball Stuff+105
83
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 39%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed McClanahan, Shane · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.314 2026-08-20: 0.3152026-08-21: 0.3152026-08-22: 0.3152026-08-23: 0.3152026-08-24: 0.3152026-08-25: 0.3142026-08-26: 0.3142026-08-27: 0.3142026-08-28: 0.3142026-08-29: 0.3142026-08-30: 0.3142026-08-31: 0.314 2026-08-20 2026-08-31 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile McClanahan, Shane · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McClanahan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 39.1%Changeup: 28.3%Slider: 18.1%Curveball: 14.5% FF39% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 39%CH 28%SL 18%CU 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McClanahan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 39% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.5 mphFF96 mphChangeup: 28% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 86.8 mphCH87 mphSlider: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 88.1 mphSL88 mphCurveball: 15% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 82.0 mphCU82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 37.2% 399 101 qualified
CH 29.1% 312 108 qualified
SL 19.9% 214 105 qualified
CB 13.8% 148 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.242 vs 0.264 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.59
K% Δ+0.008
Sample120.0 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.8----
Batters Faced269----
K%22.0%19.3% to 29.7%+/- 5.2%
BB%8.7%5.4% to 11.6%+/- 3.1%
Whiff%25.8%23.2% to 33.9%+/- 5.3%
HR/91.500.89 to 2.11+/- 0.61
xwOBA Against0.3160.269 to 0.348+/- 0.039
Barrel% Allowed8.7%5.5% to 11.8%+/- 3.2%
ERA3.692.31 to 5.19+/- 1.44
FIP3.982.97 to 5.71+/- 1.37
WHIP1.1950.929 to 1.477+/- 0.274
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

335 career BF

xwOBA0.242
K%21.5%
BB%7.5%
Barrel6.0%
vs RHH

1435 career BF

xwOBA0.264
K%21.2%
BB%7.6%
Barrel8.7%