Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.65 |
| ERA current pace | 5.23 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.94 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 27.5% | 261 | 100 | qualified |
| CB | 25.6% | 243 | 103 | qualified |
| SI | 24.0% | 228 | 106 | qualified |
| FC | 10.6% | 101 | 106 | limited sample |
| SL | 7.8% | 74 | 100 | limited sample |
| CH | 4.4% | 42 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.08 |
| K% Δ | +0.074 |
| Sample | 56.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 145.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 624 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.1% | 14.7% to 24.0% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 5.4% to 9.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Whiff% | 18.7% | 15.1% to 23.2% | +/- 4.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.64 | 0.79 to 2.38 | +/- 0.80 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.335 | 0.289 to 0.361 | +/- 0.036 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.8% | 5.8% to 12.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 5.31 | 3.26 to 6.66 | +/- 1.70 |
| FIP | 4.79 | 3.63 to 5.55 | +/- 0.96 |
| WHIP | 1.341 | 1.124 to 1.627 | +/- 0.252 |
| xwOBA | 0.339 |
| K% | 16.0% |
| BB% | 7.7% |
| Barrel | 11.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.295 |
| K% | 18.6% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
