Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CIN · 2026

Singer, Brady

Breaking-ball driven starter profile

Primary
21.6% K%
Range
17.7% to 27.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team CIN Archetype Breaking-ball attack Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
31
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
28
Arsenal5 metrics
32
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason4.05
ERA current pace4.72
ERA rolling p504.48
Observed weight64%
ERA
3.43 3.93 4.48 5.03 5.53
FIP
4.01 4.44 4.91 5.39 5.82
K%
17.6% 18.7% 19.9% 21.1% 22.2%
BB%
6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.49
20
ERA4.72
31
BB%7.6%
66
K%18.9%
26 -19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.358
11 -21 vs proj
Barrel allowed10.0%
20 -17 vs proj
Fastball velo91.3
8
Hard-hit allowed43.1%
24
Whiff%22.6%
46
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-17
Mithrandir Stuff+102
53
Sinker Stuff+104
64
Slider Stuff+99
30
Cutter Stuff+96
7
Fastball Stuff+92
7
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Singer, Brady · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.358 2026-07-06: 0.3592026-07-07: 0.3592026-07-08: 0.3592026-07-09: 0.3592026-07-10: 0.3592026-07-11: 0.3582026-07-12: 0.3582026-07-13: 0.3582026-07-14: 0.3582026-07-15: 0.3582026-07-16: 0.3582026-07-17: 0.358 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Singer, Brady · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Singer, Brady · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 48.1%Slider: 29.9%Sweeper: 11.9%Cutter: 6.7%4-Seam Fastball: 3.4% SI48% · 91 mphprimary pitch SI 48%SL 30%ST 12%FC 7%FF 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Singer, Brady · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 48% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 91.3 mphSI91 mphSlider: 30% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 82.4 mphSL82 mphSweeper: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 81.5 mphST82 mphCutter: 7% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 86.9 mphFC87 mph4-Seam Fastball: 3% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 90.7 mphFF91 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 45.7% 464 104 qualified
SL 45.5% 462 99 qualified
FC 5.8% 59 96 limited sample
FB 3.0% 30 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.334 vs 0.292 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 41%, Slider 28%, Sweeper 11%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.54
K% Δ-0.027
Sample95.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings145.9----
Batters Faced626----
K%21.6%17.7% to 27.2%+/- 4.8%
BB%8.0%5.8% to 10.1%+/- 2.1%
Whiff%21.7%19.1% to 26.3%+/- 3.6%
HR/91.560.84 to 2.05+/- 0.61
xwOBA Against0.3310.287 to 0.360+/- 0.036
Barrel% Allowed8.5%5.9% to 12.0%+/- 3.0%
ERA4.183.07 to 5.92+/- 1.42
FIP4.353.02 to 5.48+/- 1.23
WHIP1.3031.101 to 1.558+/- 0.228
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

2095 career BF

xwOBA0.334
K%20.4%
BB%8.6%
Barrel10.8%
vs RHH

1749 career BF

xwOBA0.292
K%20.3%
BB%6.3%
Barrel6.6%