Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.45 |
| ERA current pace | 4.36 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.85 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 55.1% | 239 | 102 | qualified |
| SI | 29.3% | 127 | 99 | limited sample |
| FB | 15.7% | 68 | 97 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.91 |
| K% Δ | +0.020 |
| Sample | 43.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 162 | -- | -- |
| K% | 27.5% | 21.4% to 35.8% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 9.5% | 5.6% to 13.6% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 28.5% | 23.1% to 34.3% | +/- 5.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.15 | 0.52 to 2.07 | +/- 0.77 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.308 | 0.260 to 0.361 | +/- 0.050 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.6% | 4.4% to 11.5% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.46 | 1.81 to 5.65 | +/- 1.92 |
| FIP | 3.51 | 2.80 to 4.09 | +/- 0.64 |
| WHIP | 1.193 | 0.971 to 1.557 | +/- 0.293 |
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 28.2% |
| BB% | 9.0% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 25.1% |
| BB% | 9.1% |
| Barrel | 7.7% |
