Fairbanks, Pete
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.32 |
| ERA current pace | 7.07 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.16 |
| Observed weight | 23% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 50.8% | 131 | 112 | limited sample |
| FC | 28.7% | 74 | 96 | limited sample |
| SL | 18.6% | 48 | 96 | limited sample |
| CH | 1.9% | 5 | 76 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 160 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.3% | 17.9% to 32.7% | +/- 7.4% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 5.3% to 12.6% | +/- 3.7% |
| Whiff% | 24.0% | 18.8% to 30.1% | +/- 5.7% |
| HR/9 | 1.05 | 0.49 to 1.85 | +/- 0.68 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.306 | 0.246 to 0.348 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 6.8% | 3.4% to 9.7% | +/- 3.1% |
| ERA | 3.32 | 2.18 to 5.86 | +/- 1.84 |
| FIP | 3.48 | 2.41 to 5.15 | +/- 1.37 |
| WHIP | 1.192 | 0.952 to 1.503 | +/- 0.275 |
557 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.282 |
| K% | 23.9% |
| BB% | 8.6% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |
677 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.266 |
| K% | 23.2% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |