Peguero, Joel
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.12 |
| ERA current pace | 2.89 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.91 |
| Observed weight | 17% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 41.7% | 65 | 104 | limited sample |
| SI | 36.5% | 57 | 102 | limited sample |
| SL | 21.8% | 34 | 103 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 31.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 125 | -- | -- |
| K% | 20.9% | 12.0% to 27.5% | +/- 7.7% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 4.8% to 12.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| Whiff% | 22.4% | 13.2% to 27.7% | +/- 7.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.05 | 0.53 to 2.28 | +/- 0.88 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.323 | 0.224 to 0.396 | +/- 0.086 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.7% | 2.8% to 11.4% | +/- 4.3% |
| ERA | 4.03 | 0.42 to 5.75 | +/- 2.66 |
| FIP | 3.86 | 3.12 to 5.81 | +/- 1.35 |
| WHIP | 1.356 | 0.730 to 1.688 | +/- 0.479 |
39 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 12.4% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
69 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.216 |
| K% | 14.2% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 5.6% |