Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.61 |
| ERA current pace | 2.32 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.14 |
| Observed weight | 36% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 69.7% | 163 | 106 | limited sample |
| SL | 23.1% | 54 | 110 | limited sample |
| FB | 7.3% | 17 | 83 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.30 |
| K% Δ | -0.012 |
| Sample | 32.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 39.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 170 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.5% | 17.8% to 29.8% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 5.0% to 12.9% | +/- 3.9% |
| Whiff% | 23.2% | 18.5% to 29.3% | +/- 5.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.10 | 0.42 to 1.82 | +/- 0.70 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.308 | 0.243 to 0.335 | +/- 0.046 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 6.5% | 2.9% to 9.8% | +/- 3.5% |
| ERA | 3.66 | 2.34 to 6.38 | +/- 2.02 |
| FIP | 3.79 | 2.82 to 5.33 | +/- 1.26 |
| WHIP | 1.312 | 1.061 to 1.754 | +/- 0.347 |
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 9.3% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 22.9% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |
