Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Cano, Yennier

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.5% K%
Range
17.8% to 29.8%
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Volatile contact Age 32 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.61
ERA current pace1.86
ERA rolling p503.15
Observed weight26%
ERA
1.57 2.32 3.15 3.99 4.74
FIP
2.65 3.11 3.63 4.15 4.62
K%
17.4% 19.6% 22.1% 24.5% 26.7%
BB%
4.4% 5.9% 7.4% 9.0% 10.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%3.6%
99 +46 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.7%
11 -56 vs proj
Fastball velo94.5
52
Hard-hit allowed45.0%
16
K%20.2%
35 -17 vs proj
Whiff%24.3%
61
xwOBA allowed0.312
50
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+106
84
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

9 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cano, Yennier · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-23: 0.3042026-05-24: 0.3042026-05-25: 0.3042026-05-26: 0.2992026-05-28: 0.3052026-05-29: 0.3052026-05-30: 0.3052026-05-31: 0.3122026-06-01: 0.312 2026-05-23 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cano, Yennier · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 42%42%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cano, Yennier · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 45.1%Split-Finger: 30.6%Slider: 18.4%4-Seam Fastball: 5.9% MIX SI 45%FS 31%SL 18%FF 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cano, Yennier · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB 0.7, IVB 2.8SIFS: HB -0.1, IVB 3.2FSSL: HB -0.9, IVB 3.0SLFF: HB -0.5, IVB 1.9FF horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 65.0% 117 108 limited sample
SL 25.6% 46 110 limited sample
FB 9.4% 17 81 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.297 vs 0.267 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
4
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 46%, Slider 20%, Changeup 13%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.80
K% Δ-0.022
Sample21.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings40.0----
Batters Faced173----
K%22.5%17.8% to 29.8%+/- 6.0%
BB%8.5%5.0% to 12.9%+/- 3.9%
Whiff%23.2%18.5% to 29.3%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.100.42 to 1.82+/- 0.70
xwOBA Against0.3080.243 to 0.335+/- 0.046
Barrel% Allowed6.5%2.9% to 9.8%+/- 3.5%
ERA3.662.34 to 6.38+/- 2.02
FIP3.792.82 to 5.33+/- 1.26
WHIP1.3121.061 to 1.754+/- 0.347
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

367 career BF

xwOBA0.297
K%18.7%
BB%9.3%
Barrel5.5%
vs RHH

566 career BF

xwOBA0.267
K%22.9%
BB%7.2%
Barrel5.0%