Romero, JoJo
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.63 |
| ERA current pace | 2.81 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.37 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 42.3% | 182 | 101 | limited sample |
| SL | 37.2% | 160 | 113 | limited sample |
| CH | 18.1% | 78 | 93 | limited sample |
| FB | 2.3% | 10 | 102 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -0.80 |
| K% Δ | +0.020 |
| Sample | 28.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 39.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 165 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.4% | 17.4% to 30.2% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 5.2% to 13.0% | +/- 3.9% |
| Whiff% | 25.7% | 21.0% to 31.3% | +/- 5.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.15 | 0.26 to 1.62 | +/- 0.68 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.310 | 0.263 to 0.357 | +/- 0.047 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.6% | 3.9% to 12.0% | +/- 4.0% |
| ERA | 3.61 | 0.87 to 5.04 | +/- 2.08 |
| FIP | 3.68 | 2.33 to 7.20 | +/- 2.43 |
| WHIP | 1.236 | 0.955 to 1.568 | +/- 0.306 |
310 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.249 |
| K% | 24.4% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 4.3% |
550 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.298 |
| K% | 20.6% |
| BB% | 8.5% |
| Barrel | 8.6% |