Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / STL · 2026

Pallante, Andre

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.2% K%
Range
13.7% to 24.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team STL Archetype Volatile contact Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.25
ERA current pace3.76
ERA rolling p504.00
Observed weight51%
ERA
2.72 3.33 4.00 4.67 5.28
FIP
3.55 3.93 4.35 4.77 5.15
K%
15.8% 17.2% 18.8% 20.4% 21.8%
BB%
6.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.3% 10.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.4%
56
Barrel allowed7.3%
56
Fastball velo95.0
64
Hard-hit allowed37.1%
64
K%18.3%
22
Whiff%20.7%
30
xwOBA allowed0.311
53
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
49
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Pallante, Andre · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3282026-05-19: 0.3092026-05-21: 0.3092026-05-23: 0.3092026-05-24: 0.3072026-05-25: 0.3072026-05-26: 0.3072026-05-28: 0.3072026-05-29: 0.3072026-05-30: 0.3072026-05-31: 0.3112026-06-01: 0.311 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Pallante, Andre · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 30.4%Slider: 28.7%Sinker: 18.8%Knuckle Curve: 18.5%Split-Finger: 3.3%Changeup: 0.3% MIX FF 30%SL 29%SI 19%KC 18%FS 3%CH 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 1.5FFSL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.9SLSI: HB 0.8, IVB 1.3SIKC: HB 0.1, IVB 5.2KCFS: HB -0.8, IVB 2.4FSCH: HB -0.6, IVB 2.2CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 31.8% 282 104 qualified
SL 28.6% 254 104 qualified
CB 19.6% 174 102 limited sample
SI 19.6% 174 95 limited sample
CH 0.3% 3 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Slider 28%, Knuckle Curve 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.96
K% Δ+0.001
Sample57.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings142.7----
Batters Faced632----
K%18.2%13.7% to 24.1%+/- 5.2%
BB%8.5%6.3% to 10.9%+/- 2.3%
Whiff%21.6%18.2% to 26.6%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.210.55 to 1.79+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3260.273 to 0.347+/- 0.037
Barrel% Allowed6.6%3.7% to 8.8%+/- 2.6%
ERA4.722.68 to 6.29+/- 1.81
FIP4.443.05 to 5.31+/- 1.13
WHIP1.4121.115 to 1.683+/- 0.284
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

980 career BF

xwOBA0.292
K%15.9%
BB%8.9%
Barrel4.8%
vs RHH

1077 career BF

xwOBA0.284
K%16.4%
BB%8.0%
Barrel5.2%