Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / STL · 2026

Pallante, Andre

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.2% K%
Range
13.7% to 24.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team STL Archetype Volatile contact Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
53
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
55
Arsenal5 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason4.25
ERA current pace3.96
ERA rolling p504.06
Observed weight64%
ERA
2.74 3.37 4.06 4.76 5.39
FIP
3.20 3.60 4.03 4.47 4.86
K%
15.4% 16.6% 17.8% 19.1% 20.2%
BB%
6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.28
57
ERA3.96
52
BB%6.9%
77 +25 vs proj
K%17.0%
14
xwOBA allowed0.301
65 +27 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.1%
74
Fastball velo95.3
64
Hard-hit allowed35.5%
73
Whiff%18.8%
17 -22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-17
Fastball Stuff+105
71
Mithrandir Stuff+103
55
Slider Stuff+104
68
Curveball Stuff+102
41
Sinker Stuff+96
14
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Pallante, Andre · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.301 2026-07-06: 0.2992026-07-07: 0.2992026-07-08: 0.2992026-07-09: 0.2992026-07-10: 0.2992026-07-11: 0.3012026-07-12: 0.3012026-07-13: 0.3012026-07-14: 0.3012026-07-15: 0.3012026-07-16: 0.3012026-07-17: 0.301 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Pallante, Andre · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 30.5%Slider: 30.4%Sinker: 18.7%Knuckle Curve: 17.7%Split-Finger: 2.7% FF31% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 31%SL 30%SI 19%KC 18%FS 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 31% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 95.2 mphFF95 mphSlider: 30% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 87.7 mphSL88 mphSinker: 19% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.4 mphSI95 mphKnuckle Curve: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 62″ drop, 78.1 mphKC78 mphSplit-Finger: 3% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 88.1 mphFS88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 32.3% 313 105 qualified
SL 28.8% 279 104 qualified
SI 19.4% 188 96 limited sample
CB 19.2% 186 102 limited sample
CH 0.3% 3 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Slider 28%, Knuckle Curve 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.76
K% Δ-0.012
Sample98.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings143.3----
Batters Faced634----
K%18.2%13.7% to 24.1%+/- 5.2%
BB%8.5%6.3% to 10.9%+/- 2.3%
Whiff%21.6%18.2% to 26.6%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.210.55 to 1.79+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3260.273 to 0.347+/- 0.037
Barrel% Allowed6.6%3.7% to 8.8%+/- 2.6%
ERA4.722.68 to 6.29+/- 1.81
FIP4.443.05 to 5.31+/- 1.13
WHIP1.4121.115 to 1.683+/- 0.284
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

980 career BF

xwOBA0.292
K%15.9%
BB%8.9%
Barrel4.8%
vs RHH

1077 career BF

xwOBA0.284
K%16.4%
BB%8.0%
Barrel5.2%