Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / DET · 2026

Hanifee, Brenan

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
17.9% K%
Range
12.0% to 25.5%
Live Δ
--
Team DET Archetype Balanced reliever Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
32
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal5 metrics
32
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.83
ERA current pace3.29
ERA rolling p503.72
Observed weight22%
ERA
1.86 2.74 3.72 4.69 5.57
FIP
3.22 3.75 4.35 4.94 5.47
K%
10.6% 13.1% 16.0% 18.8% 21.4%
BB%
3.0% 4.5% 6.1% 7.7% 9.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+101
42
Fastball Stuff+85
1
Mithrandir Stuff+101
43
Sinker Stuff+100
36
Slider Stuff+100
38
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 62%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Hanifee, Brenan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 31%31%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 10%10%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hanifee, Brenan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 61.6%Slider: 22.3%Changeup: 8.9%4-Seam Fastball: 6.7%Split-Finger: 0.4% SI62% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 62%SL 22%CH 9%FF 7%FS 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hanifee, Brenan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 62% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 94.9 mphSI95 mphSlider: 22% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 88.3 mphSL88 mphChangeup: 9% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 89.5 mphCH90 mph4-Seam Fastball: 7% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 95.8 mphFF96 mphSplit-Finger: 0% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 85.3 mphFS85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 62.4% 103 100 limited sample
SL 20.6% 34 100 limited sample
CH 10.9% 18 101 limited sample
FB 6.1% 10 85 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.323 vs 0.281 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 63%, Slider 21%, 4-Seam Fastball 12%.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings37.0----
Batters Faced159----
K%17.9%12.0% to 25.5%+/- 6.8%
BB%6.6%3.5% to 11.2%+/- 3.8%
Whiff%15.8%11.3% to 22.0%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.210.35 to 2.19+/- 0.92
xwOBA Against0.3240.254 to 0.405+/- 0.076
Barrel% Allowed7.2%3.1% to 10.8%+/- 3.9%
ERA3.931.20 to 5.78+/- 2.29
FIP4.112.68 to 5.46+/- 1.39
WHIP1.3241.070 to 1.690+/- 0.310
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

150 career BF

xwOBA0.323
K%14.1%
BB%7.1%
Barrel7.6%
vs RHH

302 career BF

xwOBA0.281
K%15.9%
BB%4.5%
Barrel5.7%