Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIN · 2026

Gómez, Yoendrys

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.6% K%
Range
16.5% to 27.6%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIN Archetype Volatile contact Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
34
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
37
Arsenal6 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
ERA preseason4.35
ERA current pace3.79
ERA rolling p504.05
Observed weight53%
ERA
2.77 3.38 4.05 4.73 5.34
FIP
3.49 3.99 4.54 5.10 5.60
K%
18.4% 19.9% 21.5% 23.1% 24.6%
BB%
8.5% 9.4% 10.5% 11.6% 12.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.39
38
ERA3.79
56
BB%12.4%
17 -35 vs proj
K%21.3%
44
xwOBA allowed0.348
16 -16 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.2%
24
Fastball velo95.5
67
Hard-hit allowed42.5%
22
Whiff%22.7%
48
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-08-31
Fastball Stuff+100
36
Mithrandir Stuff+102
44
Changeup Stuff+90
5
Cutter Stuff+102
49
Sinker Stuff+102
50
Slider Stuff+102
50
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 47%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gómez, Yoendrys · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.348 2026-08-20: 0.3472026-08-21: 0.3472026-08-22: 0.3472026-08-23: 0.3472026-08-24: 0.3472026-08-25: 0.3482026-08-26: 0.3482026-08-27: 0.3482026-08-28: 0.3482026-08-29: 0.3482026-08-30: 0.3482026-08-31: 0.348 2026-08-20 2026-08-31 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gómez, Yoendrys · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gómez, Yoendrys · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.2%Sweeper: 22.8%Cutter: 15.2%Sinker: 9.4%Changeup: 5.5% FF47% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 47%ST 23%FC 15%SI 9%CH 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gómez, Yoendrys · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 47% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.7 mphFF96 mphSweeper: 23% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 84.5 mphST84 mphCutter: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 91.6 mphFC92 mphSinker: 9% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.1 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 5% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 91.6 mphCH92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 46.6% 289 100 qualified
SL 23.9% 148 102 limited sample
SI 13.5% 84 102 limited sample
FC 12.6% 78 102 limited sample
CH 3.4% 21 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.312 vs 0.291 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 35%, Sinker 18%, Sweeper 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.59
K% Δ-0.003
Sample60.3 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.5----
Batters Faced290----
K%21.6%16.5% to 27.6%+/- 5.5%
BB%8.6%5.5% to 11.9%+/- 3.2%
Whiff%22.9%19.1% to 28.2%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.470.45 to 2.02+/- 0.78
xwOBA Against0.3280.268 to 0.374+/- 0.053
Barrel% Allowed9.3%5.0% to 14.2%+/- 4.6%
ERA4.382.77 to 6.41+/- 1.82
FIP4.343.09 to 6.07+/- 1.49
WHIP1.3441.058 to 1.629+/- 0.286
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

203 career BF

xwOBA0.312
K%19.1%
BB%9.0%
Barrel11.6%
vs RHH

170 career BF

xwOBA0.291
K%20.7%
BB%7.7%
Barrel10.3%