Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TEX · 2026

Bradford, Cody

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
19.6% K%
Range
15.1% to 25.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TEX Archetype Balanced starter Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
31
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
23
Arsenal5 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
ERA preseason4.05
ERA current pace4.45
ERA rolling p504.20
Observed weight36%
ERA
3.07 3.60 4.20 4.79 5.32
FIP
3.44 3.77 4.14 4.51 4.85
K%
13.5% 15.2% 17.0% 18.9% 20.5%
BB%
3.5% 4.3% 5.3% 6.3% 7.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.62
10
ERA4.45
39
BB%5.2%
95
K%11.9%
1 -32 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.355
12 -47 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.0%
8 -18 vs proj
Fastball velo88.5
2
Hard-hit allowed40.4%
35
Whiff%14.3%
2 -36 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Fastball Stuff+106
77
Changeup Stuff+110
97
Curveball Stuff+100
20
Mithrandir Stuff+105
83
Slider Stuff+100
37
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 53%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bradford, Cody · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.355 2026-08-25: 0.3492026-08-26: 0.3492026-08-27: 0.3492026-08-28: 0.3492026-08-29: 0.3492026-08-30: 0.3422026-08-31: 0.3422026-09-01: 0.3422026-09-02: 0.3422026-09-03: 0.3552026-09-04: 0.3552026-09-05: 0.355 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bradford, Cody · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 14%14%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradford, Cody · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.5%Changeup: 31.9%Slider: 9.6%Curveball: 5.1% FF53% · 89 mphprimary pitch FF 53%CH 32%SL 10%CU 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradford, Cody · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 53% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 88.5 mphFF89 mphChangeup: 32% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 80.9 mphCH81 mphSlider: 10% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 80.5 mphSL80 mphCurveball: 5% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 74.6 mphCU75 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 52.0% 204 106 qualified
CH 33.9% 133 110 limited sample
SL 7.9% 31 100 limited sample
CB 6.1% 24 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.02
K% Δ-0.077
Sample29.7 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings70.2----
Batters Faced296----
K%19.6%15.1% to 25.3%+/- 5.1%
BB%5.4%3.1% to 8.2%+/- 2.5%
Whiff%21.4%16.0% to 24.4%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.670.96 to 2.19+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3060.253 to 0.341+/- 0.044
Barrel% Allowed9.1%5.9% to 13.1%+/- 3.6%
ERA4.462.52 to 5.58+/- 1.53
FIP4.182.90 to 4.81+/- 0.96
WHIP1.2410.867 to 1.485+/- 0.309
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

174 career BF

xwOBA0.234
K%17.6%
BB%4.0%
Barrel8.4%
vs RHH

449 career BF

xwOBA0.247
K%17.5%
BB%4.2%
Barrel10.3%