Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.58 |
| ERA current pace | 4.80 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.70 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 37.0% | 353 | 108 | qualified |
| FB | 33.2% | 317 | 108 | qualified |
| CH | 19.8% | 189 | 106 | limited sample |
| CB | 7.3% | 70 | 105 | limited sample |
| SI | 2.6% | 25 | 108 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.19 |
| K% Δ | -0.024 |
| Sample | 63.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 282 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.6% | 13.1% to 23.5% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 4.3% | 1.7% to 7.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| Whiff% | 17.5% | 13.7% to 22.4% | +/- 4.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.34 | 0.34 to 2.15 | +/- 0.91 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.334 | 0.263 to 0.391 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 5.7% to 11.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| ERA | 4.61 | 2.50 to 6.24 | +/- 1.87 |
| FIP | 4.18 | 2.25 to 6.86 | +/- 2.31 |
| WHIP | 1.294 | 0.942 to 1.512 | +/- 0.285 |
| xwOBA | 0.291 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 7.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 16.5% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |
