Hurter, Brant
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.79 |
| ERA current pace | 2.84 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.49 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 58.6% | 211 | 98 | qualified |
| SL | 26.9% | 97 | 96 | limited sample |
| CH | 11.1% | 40 | 94 | limited sample |
| FB | 3.3% | 12 | 89 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -1.38 |
| K% Δ | -0.035 |
| Sample | 28.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 290 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.5% | 18.3% to 27.2% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 5.7% to 10.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 22.1% | 19.3% to 27.1% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.24 | 0.71 to 1.86 | +/- 0.58 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.310 | 0.271 to 0.340 | +/- 0.035 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 6.6% | 3.3% to 8.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 4.22 | 2.24 to 5.10 | +/- 1.43 |
| FIP | 3.63 | 3.33 to 5.07 | +/- 0.87 |
| WHIP | 1.379 | 1.113 to 1.645 | +/- 0.266 |
220 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.256 |
| K% | 21.4% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |
298 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.284 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |