Faucher, Calvin
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.73 |
| ERA current pace | 3.92 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.79 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC | 46.0% | 183 | 99 | limited sample |
| SL | 20.9% | 83 | 95 | limited sample |
| CB | 15.1% | 60 | 101 | limited sample |
| SI | 12.3% | 49 | 106 | limited sample |
| FB | 5.8% | 23 | 87 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | +0.03 |
| K% Δ | +0.005 |
| Sample | 23.7 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 169 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.6% | 17.4% to 30.6% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 9.5% | 6.8% to 14.1% | +/- 3.6% |
| Whiff% | 21.7% | 18.2% to 27.8% | +/- 4.8% |
| HR/9 | 1.13 | 0.52 to 2.00 | +/- 0.74 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.304 | 0.261 to 0.372 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.3% | 4.2% to 10.6% | +/- 3.2% |
| ERA | 3.89 | 1.92 to 6.36 | +/- 2.22 |
| FIP | 3.95 | 2.81 to 5.28 | +/- 1.23 |
| WHIP | 1.261 | 1.027 to 1.747 | +/- 0.360 |
326 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.308 |
| K% | 20.5% |
| BB% | 10.9% |
| Barrel | 6.5% |
422 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.306 |
| K% | 21.3% |
| BB% | 8.4% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |