Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / ATL · 2026

Vanasco, Ricky

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
20.7% K%
Range
0.1% to 22.7%
Live Δ
--
Team ATL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 28 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
40
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal4 metrics
40
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Changeup Stuff+108
93
Curveball Stuff+101
32
Fastball Stuff+96
14
Mithrandir Stuff+98
19
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Vanasco, Ricky · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 42%42%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vanasco, Ricky · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 50.8%Changeup: 25.1%Curveball: 24.1% FF51% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 51%CH 25%CU 24% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vanasco, Ricky · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 51% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 93.9 mphFF94 mphChangeup: 25% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.5 mphCH85 mphCurveball: 24% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 82.9 mphCU83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 48.8% 60 96 limited sample
CH 26.0% 32 108 limited sample
CB 25.2% 31 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings32.6----
Batters Faced137----
K%20.7%0.1% to 22.7%+/- 11.3%
BB%7.3%0.1% to 8.4%+/- 4.1%
Whiff%23.8%3.3% to 30.1%+/- 13.4%
HR/91.220.00 to 1.35+/- 0.68
xwOBA Against0.3280.078 to 0.410+/- 0.166
Barrel% Allowed7.3%0.1% to 9.4%+/- 4.7%
ERA4.250.95 to 6.13+/- 2.59
FIP3.910.84 to 7.25+/- 3.20
WHIP1.2850.215 to 1.478+/- 0.632
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

7 career BF

xwOBA0.091
K%1.7%
BB%0.1%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

11 career BF

xwOBA0.087
K%1.9%
BB%0.1%
Barrel0.1%