Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.78 |
| ERA current pace | 3.95 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.84 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 57.1% | 225 | 107 | qualified |
| SL | 42.4% | 167 | 96 | limited sample |
| CH | 0.5% | 2 | 76 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.02 |
| K% Δ | +0.035 |
| Sample | 30.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 33.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 144 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.0% | 15.7% to 28.7% | +/- 6.5% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 6.1% to 15.7% | +/- 4.8% |
| Whiff% | 23.8% | 18.7% to 30.9% | +/- 6.1% |
| HR/9 | 0.95 | 0.05 to 1.71 | +/- 0.83 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.316 | 0.239 to 0.373 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 5.8% | 1.4% to 9.3% | +/- 4.0% |
| ERA | 3.97 | 1.31 to 6.13 | +/- 2.41 |
| FIP | 3.88 | 2.74 to 5.29 | +/- 1.27 |
| WHIP | 1.328 | 0.985 to 1.761 | +/- 0.388 |
| xwOBA | 0.278 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 11.0% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
| xwOBA | 0.273 |
| K% | 18.1% |
| BB% | 8.9% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
