Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Sanders, Cam

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
20.3% K%
Range
4.6% to 26.2%
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Volatile contact Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
40
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
54
Arsenal4 metrics
27
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
ERA preseason3.86
ERA current pace5.40
ERA rolling p504.35
Observed weight32%
ERA
2.13 3.18 4.35 5.52 6.57
FIP
2.83 3.48 4.19 4.91 5.55
K%
13.6% 17.2% 21.2% 25.2% 28.7%
BB%
7.9% 9.5% 11.3% 13.1% 14.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
40
ERA5.40
19
BB%15.2%
4 -35 vs proj
K%28.6%
88 +56 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.313
50
Barrel allowed8.3%
36
Fastball velo96.0
74
Hard-hit allowed35.0%
77
Whiff%34.0%
99 +35 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Changeup Stuff+96
14
Fastball Stuff+96
17
Mithrandir Stuff+98
19
Slider Stuff+103
60
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Sanders, Cam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.313 2026-08-25: 0.3172026-08-26: 0.3172026-08-27: 0.3172026-08-28: 0.3082026-08-29: 0.3082026-08-30: 0.3122026-08-31: 0.3122026-09-01: 0.3122026-09-02: 0.3192026-09-03: 0.3192026-09-04: 0.3192026-09-05: 0.313 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Sanders, Cam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 34%34%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sanders, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 45.3%Slider: 37.4%Changeup: 14.3%Sinker: 3.0% FF45% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 45%SL 37%CH 14%SI 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sanders, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 96.0 mphFF96 mphSlider: 37% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.1 mphSL86 mphChangeup: 14% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 90.7 mphCH91 mphSinker: 3% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 95.8 mphSI96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 46.1% 148 96 limited sample
SL 36.8% 118 103 limited sample
CH 14.6% 47 96 limited sample
SI 2.5% 8 87 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 52%, Slider 25%, Changeup 12%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+1.24
K% Δ+0.090
Sample25.3 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings28.6----
Batters Faced133----
K%20.3%4.6% to 26.2%+/- 10.8%
BB%10.1%4.4% to 13.6%+/- 4.6%
Whiff%25.2%11.6% to 31.2%+/- 9.8%
HR/91.630.17 to 2.31+/- 1.07
xwOBA Against0.3200.140 to 0.351+/- 0.106
Barrel% Allowed7.7%1.6% to 11.1%+/- 4.7%
ERA4.170.68 to 6.59+/- 2.95
FIP4.582.77 to 6.37+/- 1.80
WHIP1.3920.922 to 1.743+/- 0.411
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

16 career BF

xwOBA0.176
K%6.7%
BB%8.8%
Barrel4.5%
vs RHH

37 career BF

xwOBA0.166
K%7.0%
BB%6.9%
Barrel4.3%