Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.37 |
| ERA current pace | 2.06 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 2.84 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 51.5% | 304 | 103 | qualified |
| CB | 18.3% | 108 | 100 | limited sample |
| SL | 16.1% | 95 | 97 | limited sample |
| CH | 10.7% | 63 | 93 | limited sample |
| FB | 3.4% | 20 | 96 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.55 |
| K% Δ | +0.082 |
| Sample | 39.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 66.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 289 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.5% | 21.6% to 32.9% | +/- 5.6% |
| BB% | 9.2% | 6.4% to 12.6% | +/- 3.1% |
| Whiff% | 23.7% | 21.1% to 29.7% | +/- 4.3% |
| HR/9 | 0.94 | 0.34 to 1.58 | +/- 0.62 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.300 | 0.268 to 0.333 | +/- 0.033 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 6.3% | 3.1% to 8.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 3.61 | 1.66 to 4.86 | +/- 1.60 |
| FIP | 3.47 | 2.64 to 4.37 | +/- 0.87 |
| WHIP | 1.287 | 1.059 to 1.623 | +/- 0.282 |
| xwOBA | 0.257 |
| K% | 26.5% |
| BB% | 9.5% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.281 |
| K% | 23.6% |
| BB% | 8.9% |
| Barrel | 4.5% |
