Bat-missing starter with frontline strikeout shape
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.05 |
| ERA current pace | 6.30 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.36 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 33.9% | 174 | 106 | limited sample |
| FC | 24.9% | 128 | 105 | limited sample |
| SI | 22.6% | 116 | 100 | limited sample |
| SL | 14.4% | 74 | 102 | limited sample |
| CH | 4.3% | 22 | 97 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +3.01 |
| K% Δ | -0.053 |
| Sample | 35.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 145.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 595 | -- | -- |
| K% | 29.8% | 26.1% to 38.4% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 3.7% to 8.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| Whiff% | 28.0% | 24.1% to 32.5% | +/- 4.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.30 | 0.79 to 1.87 | +/- 0.54 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.294 | 0.230 to 0.318 | +/- 0.044 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.3% | 6.8% to 12.6% | +/- 2.9% |
| ERA | 3.29 | 1.56 to 4.74 | +/- 1.59 |
| FIP | 3.11 | 1.98 to 4.52 | +/- 1.27 |
| WHIP | 1.118 | 0.909 to 1.408 | +/- 0.249 |
| xwOBA | 0.235 |
| K% | 30.8% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.265 |
| K% | 30.6% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 9.5% |
