Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.15 |
| ERA current pace | 3.96 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.05 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 37.5% | 318 | 94 | qualified |
| SI | 37.0% | 313 | 101 | qualified |
| FB | 9.4% | 80 | 104 | limited sample |
| FC | 8.9% | 75 | 96 | limited sample |
| CH | 7.2% | 61 | 95 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.27 |
| K% Δ | -0.018 |
| Sample | 59.0 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 66.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 300 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.3% | 16.9% to 27.2% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.9% to 10.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 22.2% | 19.8% to 27.7% | +/- 4.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.39 | 0.82 to 2.02 | +/- 0.60 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.315 | 0.276 to 0.335 | +/- 0.030 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.6% | 5.4% to 12.2% | +/- 3.4% |
| ERA | 4.23 | 3.29 to 6.33 | +/- 1.52 |
| FIP | 4.06 | 2.92 to 4.77 | +/- 0.93 |
| WHIP | 1.305 | 1.077 to 1.621 | +/- 0.272 |
| xwOBA | 0.299 |
| K% | 17.7% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 9.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 19.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |
