Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.21 |
| ERA current pace | 4.21 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.21 |
| Observed weight | 36% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 54.5% | 102 | 98 | limited sample |
| SL | 28.9% | 54 | 101 | limited sample |
| CB | 16.6% | 31 | 105 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.23 |
| K% Δ | -0.020 |
| Sample | 30.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 33.3 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 147 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.9% | 15.6% to 28.4% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 6.8% to 14.6% | +/- 3.9% |
| Whiff% | 24.1% | 20.3% to 30.2% | +/- 4.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.22 | 0.46 to 1.88 | +/- 0.71 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.330 | 0.264 to 0.372 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.7% | 3.3% to 12.0% | +/- 4.3% |
| ERA | 3.98 | 1.86 to 6.15 | +/- 2.14 |
| FIP | 4.39 | 3.02 to 6.65 | +/- 1.81 |
| WHIP | 1.350 | 1.099 to 1.703 | +/- 0.302 |
| xwOBA | 0.258 |
| K% | 17.8% |
| BB% | 10.8% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.260 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |
